Monday, January 19, 2004
Let the race begin
With 77% of the caucus votes in Iowa, Kerry and Edwards are the big winners and Dean may be left in the dust for good.
I've always respected Kerry and really like Edwards message about there being two Americas. It's a perfect message because when he talks about two Americas people think in terms of commonality as opposed to based on race or geographic location. The message brings up the idea of an underclass but without the socialist undertones and when people think about it, most folks are a part of this second America-- the one that is unemployed, struggling to access health care and attending dilapitated schools.
The question now is whether Lieberman and Gen. Clark placed themselves out of the race by skipping the caucus. Do New Hampshire folks care whether or not they skipped Iowa since they were there, kissing babies for the last week?
My political crystal ball predicts the following results in New Hampshire:
1) Gephardt will drop out tomorrow
2) Kerry will finish first with 40%
3) Edwards and Clark will duke it out for second around 25% each
4) Lieberman and Dean will flounder, neither getting no more than 7%
I've always respected Kerry and really like Edwards message about there being two Americas. It's a perfect message because when he talks about two Americas people think in terms of commonality as opposed to based on race or geographic location. The message brings up the idea of an underclass but without the socialist undertones and when people think about it, most folks are a part of this second America-- the one that is unemployed, struggling to access health care and attending dilapitated schools.
The question now is whether Lieberman and Gen. Clark placed themselves out of the race by skipping the caucus. Do New Hampshire folks care whether or not they skipped Iowa since they were there, kissing babies for the last week?
My political crystal ball predicts the following results in New Hampshire:
1) Gephardt will drop out tomorrow
2) Kerry will finish first with 40%
3) Edwards and Clark will duke it out for second around 25% each
4) Lieberman and Dean will flounder, neither getting no more than 7%
